Is compensation for long-term interest-rate risk rising?
10-year term premium · ACM month-end estimate · Monthly
History: 33 observations · Local history available
ACM 10-year term-premium model estimates from the public chart, sampled at month-end. These are not directly observed market quotes or official FOMC or New York Fed estimates. The model may be revised; nominal yields are not a substitute.
New observations from reports
Unverified report excerpts. This separate curve does not replace or extend the main chart above. See the main chart’s source label for its verification status.
Read observation dates and evidence
View data table (last 24 observations)
| Period | Value (%) | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 0.885 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.759 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-07-31 | 0.833 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.506 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-05-29 | 0.661 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.714 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.649 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-02-27 | 0.592 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2026-01-30 | 0.762 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.748 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.578 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-10-31 | 0.559 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.607 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-08-29 | 0.769 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.627 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.618 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-05-30 | 0.733 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.587 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.364 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-02-28 | 0.254 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2025-01-31 | 0.484 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.474 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2024-11-29 | 0.075 | Primary-source estimate |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.156 | Primary-source estimate |
View sources and verification dates
Report and verification dates are labeled separately. Original release timestamps are shown when explicitly provided by the source. Quotations retain their source language.
- 2026-09-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Sep-2026,0.885008256163907,5.25896137383186,5.28356237559148
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-08-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Aug-2026,0.75936106118762,4.81713389489083,4.82610113666976
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-07-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Jul-2026,0.833222462972223,4.82306104713517,4.83483964203813
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-06-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Jun-2026,0.506231109313184,4.47720906055325,4.49095998278098
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-05-29 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
29-May-2026,0.660668857549558,4.51282265899656,4.52563852347487
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-04-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Apr-2026,0.714484138438174,4.447596397478,4.46489226266502
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-03-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Mar-2026,0.649070455774333,4.34681791787597,4.36629661595851
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-02-27 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
27-Feb-2026,0.591515375075296,4.03073767945789,4.04438704632222
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2026-01-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Jan-2026,0.762204290334927,4.31390145358442,4.32496092486971
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-12-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Dec-2025,0.747785736163461,4.24478046717607,4.25679652928417
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-11-28 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
28-Nov-2025,0.578189304640091,4.08328701761499,4.09833663527852
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-10-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Oct-2025,0.558815316770727,4.15365727052231,4.16523970666126
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-09-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Sep-2025,0.607073659467604,4.19876084432419,4.21028052562976
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-08-29 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
29-Aug-2025,0.768798853393328,4.27350375451511,4.28853475687479
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-07-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Jul-2025,0.626805934995286,4.39822357811066,4.40855577302233
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-06-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Jun-2025,0.617602319061363,4.28089606323717,4.29046877812261
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-05-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-May-2025,0.733454155656846,4.46579048885954,4.47541571486847
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-04-30 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
30-Apr-2025,0.587248483457558,4.21847082658028,4.22765301247459
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-03-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Mar-2025,0.363742123994473,4.2514253800355,4.2571088078304
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-02-28 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
28-Feb-2025,0.254051420949771,4.25524251021934,4.25940323366806
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2025-01-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Jan-2025,0.484392511142421,4.59478217440578,4.59760889822136
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2024-12-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Dec-2024,0.474474956721218,4.58661385035118,4.59242936648513
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2024-11-29 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
29-Nov-2024,0.0751971079467859,4.18611897949866,4.19365057044777
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.
- 2024-10-31 · Verified on 2026-10-09 · New York Fed ACM public model data
31-Oct-2024,0.156425968142137,4.29668893652922,4.29938858937533
TERMYld in the New York Fed public chart CSV: ACM 10-year term-premium model estimate in percent, sampled at month-end. This is not a daily series, nominal 10-year yield or real yield. The model may be revised and does not represent official estimates of the New York Fed, Federal Reserve System or FOMC. Original release times are undisclosed; retrieval is the conservative availability clock.